• Claudine Montano
  • 10/25/22

We have witnessed a real estate boom in the last several years. Mortgage rates and inventories were at an all-time low, resulting in a seller's market. People were bidding much beyond market value and yet being turned down by the competition.

All of that is changing now. The globe is facing inflation, and many warn that we are on the verge of a recession. The Federal Reserve has responded by raising mortgage interest rates.

Although rates have generally been low, the increase has had an impact on the market. Property prices are falling as there is less competition. 

Mortgage rates are going up and many sellers have had to lower their prices to make up for the discrepancy.   While home prices are not expected to go down by too much they have started to drop, hitting the luxury homes the hardest so far. But now that more people are working from home, and no longer need to be conveniently located, they are moving to the suburbs to take advantage of the lower prices. Luxury sellers are having to lower the prices of their homes.

Although a recession may cause some homeowners to drop their prices, they will have an international market to appeal to. 
It can be hard to define luxury real estate. We can safely say it’s limited to higher-priced, upscale properties. That could redefine luxury as people seek out amenity laden properties in unexpected locations. 

It could also redefine luxury in terms of price. Currently, the median price of a luxury home is $1.15 million. And luxury properties in cities like Los Angeles, New York and Miami are often international favorites. Luxury sellers may have to follow the trend. With COVID travel restrictions loosening up, many foreign investors are coming back to the market to make major purchases. It is predicted that prices won’t sink much further, but you never know. These move-up buyers are now not able or willing to pay as much for their next home. Here are some factors that will affect the market as the economy weakens.

We are also seeing an increase in luxury properties in locations where properties are historically cheaper than the national average. An Increase in Inventory: When mortgage rates were sinking, it was difficult to get your hands on any properties leading to a lack of inventory. When inventory was scarce at the end of 2021, luxury homes were still available due to their high prices. 

Experts believed luxury homes wouldn’t be affected much by a change in inventory. 

Besides the low prices, buyers are also attracted to Texas and Florida due to the lack of income tax and the low construction prices. Now that inventory is back on the rise, we expected to see the same, however, recently luxury homes have taken a large hit. 

Now that more people are working from home, they are investing as they feel free to go from location to location without needing to take time off. An Increase in Second Home Purchases: In the past, many people were reluctant to buy a second home. Texas is also seeing increases as nearly a quarter of sales that happened between 2020 and 2021 were considered luxury. Most second homes are luxury properties. In the coming months, inventory is expected to increase due to new construction and higher rates. They felt a second home wouldn’t be used that often due to few vacation days a year. So how will this affect the luxury market? 

Work With Claudine

With more than a decade of experience, Claudine Montano possesses a strong business acumen of Toronto’s constantly evolving real estate market. Claudine Montano is a Broker of Record with RE/MAX Hallmark Montano Group Realty affiliated with RE/MAX Hallmark.

Follow Me on Instagram